UD Ourense U19 vs Racing Ferrol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
15º
9º
41
7º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
OUR
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 1
PAB
31%
21%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALO
2 - 0
OUR
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 2
DEP
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
ALO
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
XUV
0 - 1
FER
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
FER
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |