UD Ourense U19 vs Lugo U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
15º
9º
43
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
OUR
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 2
CHO
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
OUR
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 2
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
OUR
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lugo U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
LUG
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
LUG
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FER
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |