UD Orensana vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
15.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ORE
2 - 0
PON
74%
15%
12%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
ORE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ORE
4 - 1
PON
65%
17%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
ORE
7 - 1
GAF
83%
11%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
SGL
3 - 0
ORE
52%
21%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
SGL
3 - 1
LEM
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SAN
3 - 3
SGL
41%
22%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SGL
3 - 0
PON
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
CEL
5 - 2
SGL
46%
21%
32%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
SGL
3 - 0
ORE
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |