Onil vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 4
ONI
32%
20%
48%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ONI
1 - 2
PET
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ONI
2 - 0
VIL
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
ONI
28%
20%
52%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ONI
4 - 0
ESI
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
MON
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESI
3 - 3
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 1
CAS
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
BNY
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |