Oliveirense U19 vs SC Covilha U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
3º
1º
1
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 1
ASN
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDO
1 - 0
CON
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 3
MAR
53%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POM
2 - 3
UDO
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 9
UDO
6%
13%
82%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SPC
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 3
POM
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
SPC
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPC
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |