Oliveirense U19 vs Marinhense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
3º
1º
18
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POM
2 - 3
UDO
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 9
UDO
6%
13%
82%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDO
1 - 1
POM
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 3
UDO
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 3
ASN
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marinhense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 1
MAR
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEI
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ACV
4 - 2
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |