Oliva vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
GAN
1 - 1
OLI
85%
10%
6%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAG
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
SDS
4 - 2
OLI
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
OLI
3 - 1
ONT
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
CAN
2 - 2
OLI
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 4
ALC
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
TAV
3 - 1
PEG
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
PEG
3 - 0
OND
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ACE
4 - 1
PEG
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PEG
0 - 1
CUL
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |