Mutilvera vs Zarramonza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 0
UDM
35%
28%
37%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
0 - 2
UDM
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
SJU
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Zarramonza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 3
TUD
15%
22%
64%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ZAR
0 - 2
AOI
22%
25%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
ZAR
55%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |