Mutilvera vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 1
UDM
10%
20%
70%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 2
CDA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
UDM
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
UDM
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
4 - 1
RIV
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CDB
0 - 2
SUB
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 5
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
SUB
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SUB
3 - 2
SJU
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |