Mutilvera vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 0
UDM
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
PAM
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 0
UDM
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SUB
4 - 0
COR
60%
21%
18%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 2
SUB
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SUB
2 - 2
IZA
18%
22%
61%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SUB
0 - 0
CDC
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
SUB
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |