Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Mutilvera vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 0
ALU
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
UDM
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDM
26%
24%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AOI
0 - 5
UDM
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ANT
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 1
SAN
16%
23%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
POZ
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 3
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |