Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Mutilvera vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 4
UDM
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 0
OBE
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
UDM
20%
25%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PBL
3 - 0
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BNS
6 - 1
PBL
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PBL
1 - 0
PXD
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 4
PBL
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PBL
2 - 2
MNC
45%
25%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |