Mutilvera vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 2
UDM
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 2
UDM
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 3
UDM
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 1
SJU
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
OBE
0 - 1
ART
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
OBE
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 1
BUR
41%
27%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 0
ERR
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
OBE
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |