Mutilvera vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDM
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
PAM
0 - 0
UDM
35%
26%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
4 - 0
PEN
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TUD
2 - 2
UDM
60%
23%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
OBE
1 - 1
ZAR
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 2
OBE
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
OBE
3 - 0
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PAM
1 - 1
OBE
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
OBE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |