Mutilvera vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDM
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 3
UDM
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
UDM
6 - 1
AZK
59%
24%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
67%
22%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LAG
0 - 1
UDM
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
OBE
1 - 1
TUD
30%
28%
42%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
OBE
0 - 1
LAG
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ATL
4 - 1
OBE
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
OBE
0 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TUD
3 - 0
OBE
56%
25%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |