Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 2
UDM
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 3
UDM
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 1
SJU
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 1
UDM
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 0
OSA
29%
26%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
ART
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUR
53%
24%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
ERR
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
MUR
54%
23%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |