Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AZK
0 - 4
UDM
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 4
UDM
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
IZA
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 2
UDM
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 1
PEÑ
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
IZA
12%
22%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MUR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 4
SJU
30%
28%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |