Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ALU
2 - 1
UDM
24%
26%
50%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
9 - 0
CAV
69%
18%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOU
0 - 1
UDM
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 3
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
UDM
19%
25%
56%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 1
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
OBE
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
16%
23%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 3
PAM
35%
27%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |