Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 0
UDM
32%
28%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 2
UDM
29%
28%
42%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
IZA
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
31%
28%
42%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 4
PEÑ
15%
23%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HUA
3 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDA
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
IZA
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |