Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
0 - 2
UDM
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
SJU
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDM
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
UDM
2 - 1
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
4 - 2
TUD
26%
27%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 2
AOI
43%
28%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
BUR
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |