Mutilvera vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
UDM
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
OBE
0 - 0
UDM
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALU
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
UDM
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SES
0 - 3
UDM
65%
21%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
SES
0 - 1
LOU
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LOU
5 - 3
IDO
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PAM
2 - 2
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
LOU
4 - 5
LAG
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LOU
2 - 0
HUA
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |