Mutilvera vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
UDM
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MHN
1 - 0
UDM
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 0
MHN
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
UDM
22%
27%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOU
5 - 0
ZAR
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OBE
4 - 0
LOU
45%
26%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LOU
2 - 2
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOU
1 - 3
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |