Mutilvera vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 2
UDM
36%
29%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
3 - 0
ALB
71%
21%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CDU
1 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 0
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 1
UDM
30%
28%
43%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LOU
4 - 3
OBE
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
AZK
5 - 1
LOU
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 0
PRA
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
HUA
1 - 0
LOU
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |