Mutilvera vs Txantrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 1
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 0
UDM
35%
28%
37%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
0 - 2
UDM
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
TUD
29%
27%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
AOI
46%
27%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
44%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |