Mutilvera vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UBC
1 - 1
UDM
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 0
UBC
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UDM
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 1
ZAM
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 0
UDM
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 0
CEL
73%
19%
8%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CEL
4 - 2
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
COX
1 - 3
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 3
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
RCF
28%
27%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |