Mutilvera vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDM
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 1
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UPL
0 - 0
UDM
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDP
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AOI
0 - 0
UDM
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDM
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
COR
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
COR
0 - 2
CEL
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BET
1 - 1
CEL
16%
21%
64%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |