Mutilvera vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 0
UDM
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
BOI
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
COX
3 - 1
UDM
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 2
SOM
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CUL
5 - 1
UDM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 0
CDG
43%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IZA
0 - 1
CAU
43%
28%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 0
CAU
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 1
BOI
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COX
3 - 1
CAU
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |