Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
UDM
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDM
26%
24%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AOI
0 - 5
UDM
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 0
SJU
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 3
ATL
17%
24%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
AOI
3 - 1
ALU
52%
24%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALU
0 - 6
TUD
8%
19%
73%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ALU
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALU
2 - 5
OBE
32%
26%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |