Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
UDM
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SES
0 - 3
UDM
65%
21%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 0
IDO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAM
1 - 2
UDM
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
UDM
5 - 0
LAG
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 2
HUA
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 2
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ALU
0 - 3
TUD
14%
22%
65%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
IZA
1 - 1
ALU
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ALU
0 - 0
VAL
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |