Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AOI
2 - 0
UDM
40%
29%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UDM
1 - 0
BUR
68%
21%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDM
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
UDM
5 - 2
HUA
47%
27%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 0
UDM
41%
28%
31%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ALU
0 - 0
TUD
31%
28%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ALU
0 - 0
IDO
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AOI
0 - 0
ALU
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ALU
2 - 0
BUR
62%
23%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALU
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |