Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CDA
0 - 2
UDM
28%
26%
47%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
UDM
3 - 1
AOI
56%
25%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 1
UDM
38%
28%
34%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 1
LOU
54%
26%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
IZA
1 - 1
UDM
42%
28%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ALU
4 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALU
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
ALU
1 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
ALU
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ALU
2 - 1
TUD
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |