Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
UDM
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
UDM
3 - 0
AGO
67%
22%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDM
20%
26%
54%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
UDM
4 - 1
LOU
66%
21%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 2
UDM
36%
29%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 2
OBE
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AZK
8 - 1
ALU
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 2
PRA
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 4
ALU
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALU
0 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |