Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
REC
2 - 0
UDM
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
UDM
2 - 1
IDO
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
HAR
1 - 1
UDM
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
UDM
2 - 2
CDU
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AOI
2 - 4
UDM
30%
26%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ALU
0 - 3
AZK
34%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
TUD
2 - 2
ALU
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ALU
2 - 1
AGO
64%
20%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
IZA
2 - 1
ALU
52%
25%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ALU
3 - 1
MIR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |