Mutilvera vs Alberite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.6%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CDU
1 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 0
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 1
UDM
30%
28%
43%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 0
SMC
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
IZA
0 - 0
UDM
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 2
OBE
13%
24%
63%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AZK
3 - 0
ALB
86%
11%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 1
PRA
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 2
ALU
28%
27%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |