UD Mutilvera U19 vs Peña Sport FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
8º
8º
24
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mutilvera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIR
2 - 1
UDM
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UDM
4 - 3
ROT
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDA
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
UDM
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
UDM
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
CDA
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
PEN
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
LAG
9%
15%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALS
2 - 1
PEN
49%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
7 - 2
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |