Moya vs Saucillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 0
MOY
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TEJ
1 - 0
MOY
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
MOY
2 - 0
BAR
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
MOY
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
MOY
1 - 7
SNI
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Saucillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 4
BAR
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAU
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAU
2 - 4
SNI
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
SAU
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 0
GAL
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |