Montecarlo vs Fuentes analysis


11	ELO	18
-0.7%	Tilt	0%
19849º	General ELO ranking	8855º
6778º	Country ELO ranking	505º
ELO win probability

20.3%

Montecarlo

22%

Draw

57.7%

Fuentes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

20.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%

22%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

22%

57.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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