Montecarlo vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CFV
1 - 0
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
CFI
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDM
72%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 2
FUE
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
CFB
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
7 - 0
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CFV
3 - 2
CEL
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
CFI
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |