Montecarlo vs Ad Rivas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CFH
1 - 3
UDM
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UDM
6 - 2
CDM
41%
25%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 5
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDQ
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 0
UDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ad Rivas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ADR
3 - 2
CFB
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
ADR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ADR
1 - 2
CFV
14%
20%
66%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ADR
2 - 2
CAL
19%
22%
60%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFI
2 - 1
ADR
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |