Molletense vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molletense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
MOL
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 0
TRO
29%
23%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MOL
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 1
VIC
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOL
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
TOR
57%
20%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDD
5 - 1
BER
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BER
2 - 4
FRA
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BER
7 - 1
PIR
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CTR
4 - 1
BER
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |