Mérida B vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
DOR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 2
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |