Mérida B vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UAT
2 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
ALT
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALT
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
NEC
34%
30%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |