UD Melilla B vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+261%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
5 - 1
UDM
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
LOJ
12%
19%
68%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RON
2 - 0
UDM
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALQ
4 - 0
HUE
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALQ
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MAL
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
EST
2 - 3
ALQ
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALQ
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |