UD Marinaleda vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+777%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
64%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
CDM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 2
PAL
55%
23%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADS
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LCF
1 - 1
UTR
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
PAR
52%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
UTR
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |