UD Marinaleda vs Gilena C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+777%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
6 - 0
FUT
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIU
3 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gilena C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GIL
4 - 3
LAR
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FUT
0 - 4
GIL
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 3
BAD
41%
23%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
GIL
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
GIL
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |