UD Marinaleda vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CRD
1 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 3
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
POZ
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
ALG
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
4 - 1
ARC
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
POZ
0 - 1
ALG
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
4 - 1
ROC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |