UD Marinaleda vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAL
19%
25%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
0 - 0
ALC
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 3
PUE
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALC
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |