UD Marinaleda vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 4
MAR
24%
28%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CFB
2 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 2
CFB
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALC
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 0
CCF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |