Marbella FC vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
20%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BET
1 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAD
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRD
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
ROD
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
5 - 0
ARR
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
20%
30%
50%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
RJA
17%
27%
55%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |