Marbella FC vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ECI
0 - 3
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
DBN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
JER
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 4
RJA
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 2
CDL
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |